TheJobsMarket
Growing and Shrinking Occupations

Which Growing Jobs Actually Have a Route Into Them

Growth is only useful to you if there is a door. The projections publish the entry requirement next to the growth rate, and almost nobody reads that column.

Short answer

Every occupation in the projections carries three assignments: the education typically needed to enter, whether related work experience is expected, and the on-the-job training normally provided. Reading those beside the growth figure separates occupations you could enter within a year from ones that need a multi-year credential before you can apply at all.

The column nobody reads

Growth is only useful to you if there is a door. The projections publish the entry requirement next to the growth rate, and almost nobody reads that column. It sits immediately beside the number everybody quotes.

Every occupation carries three assignments alongside the growth figure: the education typically needed to enter, whether related work experience is expected, and the on-the-job training normally provided. All three sit in the same table as the number everyone quotes. No extra lookup is required to read all four together.

Those three decide whether a growth figure is available to you at all. Reading the growth column alone is how somebody spends a year enthusiastic about an occupation they cannot enter for six. Enthusiasm is cheap and six years of training is not.

What each one is telling you

Typical entry education runs from no formal credential through to a doctoral or professional degree. Nurse practitioners need a master’s plus licensure, while information security analysts typically need a bachelor’s. The gap between those two requirements is several years long.

Work experience in a related occupation is the second, and where it says five years or more, the role is a destination rather than an entry point. Most management occupations sit here, which is why medical and health services managers growing 23.2 percent is not a career anybody starts. Management growth is a promotion path rather than an entry route.

Typical on-the-job training is the third and the most underrated of them. Where an occupation offers moderate or long-term on-the-job training, the employer expects to teach you, which is a route in that costs you nothing but time. Somebody else is paying for the training in that arrangement.

The combination that actually opens a door

The combination worth filtering for is growing, no degree required, and moderate or long-term training provided. Filter the release that way and a short, unglamorous, genuinely useful list appears. Nothing on it would survive a conventional ranking.

Industrial machinery mechanics grow 16.1 percent at a median of $64,520 on a high school diploma with long-term on-the-job training. Electricians grow 9.5 percent at $63,190 through an apprenticeship, and HVAC technicians grow 8.1 percent at $61,010 on a postsecondary certificate. Months of study rather than years is the operative difference.

Security and fire alarm installers grow 10.4 percent at $60,070, and flight attendants grow 9.2 percent at $63,580 on a high school diploma. Every one of those clears $60,000 at the median, none requires a degree, and in each case somebody else pays for the training. That last point is worth more than the wage difference.

Why this list is invisible

It is neither the fastest-growing nor the highest-paid, and career journalism sorts on one or the other. Nothing here would survive either filter. Being second-best on two measures beats being first on neither.

An occupation growing 9.5 percent does not make a headline, and neither does a median of $63,190. Both numbers are unremarkable in isolation. Unremarkable numbers are exactly what the filters discard.

Together, with no tuition bill and an employer willing to train, they describe a better proposition for most people than the top of either published list. The combination is what matters and no ranking sorts by combinations. You have to build that filter yourself in a spreadsheet.

Apprenticeship is the one to look for

Where the training assignment says apprenticeship, the arrangement is unusually good for the entrant. Three things are true at once and all of them favor you. Few arrangements in the labor market stack that way.

You earn while you learn rather than paying to learn. The qualification is portable to other employers. And the employer has a reason to keep you afterwards because they have invested real money in you.

Electricians are the clearest example in this release, and the same structure exists across several construction and maintenance occupations. It is the closest thing in the American labor market to being paid to acquire a credential. The economics of it are unusually favorable to the entrant.

The postsecondary certificate is the overlooked category

Between no credential and a degree sits a band the education column calls a postsecondary nondegree award. It is usually months rather than years, often at a community college, and frequently under a few thousand dollars. The cost sits far below any degree program available.

Several growing healthcare and technical occupations sit exactly there. Psychiatric technicians at 20.0 percent and $45,130, massage therapists at 15.4 percent and $58,450, and HVAC technicians at $61,010. All three are reachable within about a year of starting.

People who read the education column as a binary between degree and no degree miss this band entirely. It is where most of the genuinely accessible growth in the release actually sits. The binary reading of that column costs people real options.

What the column does not tell you

It does not tell you whether the training places exist. An occupation can require a credential that is rationed by program capacity, which turns fast growth into competition for schooling rather than for jobs. The bottleneck moves upstream and stays invisible in the table.

That constraint appears nowhere in this dataset and it is the largest gap in it. A 40 percent growth rate says nothing about whether 40 percent more people can be trained. Those are genuinely separate questions with separate answers.

Nor does it tell you whether local employers actually run the apprenticeships. Apprenticeship is the national norm for an occupation rather than a promise that one is open near you, and confirming it is a phone call worth making before building a plan on it. National norms and local availability frequently diverge quite sharply.

How to use all four columns at once

Filter first for what you could realistically start within a year. That single step removes most of the published list and all of the frustration. Excluding the unreachable first saves months of wasted enthusiasm.

Then rank what survives by median wage rather than by growth rate. Then check annual openings to see how much hiring actually happens in each one. Growth without openings is a field that hires almost nobody.

That order matters more than it sounds. Starting from growth gives you a list of things to be excluded from, while starting from access gives you a list of things you could actually do. One list is aspirational and the other is operational.

The question to ask a local employer

Once a candidate occupation survives all four filters, one conversation settles the rest. Call an employer or a union local that hires for it in your area. Local employers know things no national dataset records.

Ask whether they train people in, what the last three hires looked like, and what somebody would need to be considered. Those answers are specific to your city in a way no national table can be. Specificity is what turns research into an actual plan.

That call costs nothing and takes fifteen minutes. It is the step between reading about an occupation and having a route into one, and it is the step almost nobody makes. Fifteen minutes separates reading about work from pursuing it.

Common questions

What entry information do the projections publish?

Typical entry education, whether related work experience is expected, and the on-the-job training normally provided — for every occupation.

Which combination signals an accessible job?

Growing, no degree required, and moderate or long-term on-the-job training, meaning employers expect to train entrants.

What is a postsecondary nondegree award?

A certificate rather than a degree, often months rather than years. Several growing healthcare and technical occupations sit in that category.

What does 'five years or more' experience mean?

That the occupation is a destination rather than an entry point. Most management roles sit there.

What is missing from this data?

Whether training places exist. A credential rationed by program places turns fast growth into competition for schooling.

Which growing jobs can I enter without a degree?

Industrial machinery mechanics at $64,520, electricians at $63,190, flight attendants at $63,580, HVAC at $61,010 and security alarm installers at $60,070 — all growing, all trained on the job.

What does the on-the-job training column mean?

That the employer expects to teach you. Moderate or long-term training, and especially apprenticeship, is a route in that costs time rather than tuition.

What is a postsecondary nondegree award?

A certificate, usually months rather than years and often at a community college. Several growing healthcare and technical occupations sit in that band and it gets overlooked.

CS

Charles Slocs

Data and research

Charles Slocs builds the data side of this site — pulling the federal wage and employment series, matching job titles to occupation codes, and working out what the numbers do and do not support. He writes the pages that are mostly a question about evidence: what a survey measured, how wide the spread really is, and which published figure is out of date.

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